(Bloomberg) — U.S. and European futures started October on the back foot alongside Asian stocks, after overnight losses in the S&P 500 capped its biggest monthly selloff since March 2020.
Shares slumped in Japan and Australia, and a gauge of Asian stocks hit its lowest in more than a month. China began a week-long holiday, and Hong Kong’s market was shut Friday. SINCE JULY, the S&P 500 closed at the lowest level, extending its September losses to almost 5%. Economically sensitive companies like industrials and financials were among the worst performers. Infighting among President Joe Biden’s Democrats signals his big spending plans will likely be both delayed and reduced.
Treasuries edged higher, with the 10-year yield dipping below 1.50%. The dollar added to gains for the week. Crude oil fluctuated after a tumultuous session. China was said to order its top energy companies to secure supplies at all costs amid shortages, prompting the White House to reiterate its own concerns over rising prices.
As investors brace for the Federal Reserve to wind down its stimulus, fears are mounting about slowing economic growth, elevated inflation, supply-chain bottlenecks, a global energy crunch, and regulatory risks emanating from China. A near-record technical streak for the U.S. equity benchmark has some bulls worried that a sharp pullback is overdue.
“A rocky start to the quarter is inherited from the wobble in U.S. equities amid a patchwork approach to avoiding a fiscal cliff conspiring with rising fears of inflationary shocks accentuated by the scramble for energy,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. “The threat is not merely interrupted growth/recovery but rather self-inflicted pain amplification between U.S. fiscal fumbles and China’s regulatory agitation.”
Political wrangling in Washington threatens to push the U.S. into default and force President Joe Biden to scale back his spending agenda. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was pressing ahead with a vote on a bipartisan infrastructure bill, even though progressive Democrats said they have the numbers to stall it until the Senate agrees on a more comprehensive tax and spending package.
Biden late Thursday signed a government funding bill that averts a shutdown.
“When we see a long calm stretch like we just did, and it finally ends, then investors kind of freak out,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “Nobody is used to the volatility, and newer investors — of which there are plenty right now — tend to panic a little bit.”
Elsewhere, China Evergrande Group started returning a small portion of the money owed to buyers of its investment products, weeks after people protested against missed payments.
Here are some events to watch this week:
- Univ. of Michigan sentiment, ISM manufacturing, U.S. construction spending, spending/personal income, Friday
For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.
Some of the major moves in markets:
- S&P 500 futures declined 0.5% as of 6:51 a.m. in London. The S&P 500 fell 1.2% Thursday.
- Topix fell 2.2%.
- S&P/ASX 200 dropped 2.1%.
- Kospi Index fell 1.6%
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures dropped 1.5%
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%
- The euro was little changed at $1.1576
- The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3452
- The Japanese yen was little changed at 111.20 per dollar after it rose 0.6% Thursday.
- West Texas Intermediate crude declined 0.1% to $74.93 a barrel
- Gold fell 0.3% to $1,751 an ounce